For a fourth month since Trudeau’s SNC-Lavalin scandal, Conservatives and Liberals both remain stuck in the low 30s, well below majority territory.
Abacus’ August poll puts the Conservatives at 33 per cent and Liberals at 32 per cent, both virtually unchanged since May.
For Singh’s NDP, which at 17 per cent is also no higher or lower than in the aftermath of the SNC Lavalin scandal, a continued stalemate could lead to a key role in a minority parliament.
Singh’s NDP has announced a policy platform — including an aggressive affordable housing plan, single-payer universal pharmacare and a Green New Deal plan — which would be up for negotiation if NDP MPs hold the balance of power.
The Green Party, which peaked at 12 per cent in the SNC aftermath, gave up gains for a second month, declining to 10 per cent support.
But while a continued momentum stall would lead to a minority parliament, the last two elections have shown big break-out moves during the campaign period.`
In the 2015 election, Justin Trudeau’s Liberal moved from third to first. In 2011, Jack Layton’s NDP — which polled at 15% just three weeks before that year’s election — moved from fourth to second.